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Abstract. . .  glucose kinetics: superiority of Bayesian estimation. Mathematical Biosciences 2003; 184:53–67. Copyright ? 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Statist. Med. 2006; 25:1840–1857 Page 18 MODELLING THE TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS OF AHC 1857 30. Bickel P, Doksum KA. Mathematical Statistics. Holden-Day: Oakland, CA, 1977. 31. Castillo-Chavez C, Velasco-Hernandez JX, Fridman S. Modeling contact structures in biology. In . . .
. . .  1984; 5:390–394. 37. Harley D, Harrower B, Lyon M, Dick A. A primary school outbreak of pharyngoconjunctival fever caused by adenovirus type 3. Communicable Diseases Intelligence 2001; 25:9–12. 38. Brauer F. Some simple epidemic models. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, in press. Copyright ? 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Statist. Med. 2006; 25:1840–1857  . . .
. . .  CP. Population-dynamics models and a sequential test in the analysis of the inuence of household setting on the spread of Variola minor. Journal of Theoretical Biology 1980; 82:91–103. 35. Longini IM, Koopman JS. Household and community transmission parameters from ÿnal distributions of infections in households. Biometrics 1982; 38:115–126. 36. Buehler JW, Finton RJ, Goodman RA, Choi K, Hierholzer JC, Sikes RK, Elsea WR. Epidemic keratoconjunctivitis: report of an outbreak . . .
. . .  44:98–130. 33. Schenzle D. An age-structure model of pre- and post-vaccination measles transmission. IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Medicine and Biology 1984; 1:169–191. 34. Angulo JJ, Smith TL, Tsokos JO, Tsokos CP. Population-dynamics models and a sequential test in the analysis of the inuence of household setting on the spread of Variola minor. Journal of Theoretical Biology 1980; 82:91–103. 35. Longini IM, Koopman JS. Household and community transmission parameters . . .
. . .  potential of smallpox in contemporary populations. Nature 2001; 414:748–751. 15. Lipsitch M, Cohen T, Cooper B, Robins JM, Ma S, James L, Gopalakrishna G, Chew SK, Tan CC, Samore MH, Fisman D, Murray M. Transmission dynamics and control of severe acute respiratory syndrome. Science 2003; 300:1966–1970. 16. Riley S, Fraser C, Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Abu-Raddad LJ, Hedley AJ, Leung GM, Ho LM, Lam TH, Thach TQ, Chau P, Chan KP, Lo SV, Leung PY, Tsang T, Ho W, Lee KH, Lau EM, Ferguson . . .
. . .  9:1010–1012. 12. Gale Encyclopedia of Medicine, The Gale Group, 2002, website: (www.healthatoz.com=healthatoz=Atoz=ency= adenovirus infections.jsp) 13. Chowell G, Castillo-Chavez C, Diaz-Duenas P. Characterization of an outbreak of acute haemorrhagic conjunctivitis in Mexico, 2003. Digital Journal of Ophthalmology 2005; 11(1). http://www.djo.harvard.edu/site. php?url=/physicians/oa/712 14. Gani R, Leach S. Transmission potential of smallpox in contemporary populations. . . .
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